Sportsdabbler’s Early NFL Predictions: AFC Edition
What’s up everyone? The Sportsdabbler is here to bring you its way-too-early AFC contenders list. I was waiting to release this because I was expecting a certain AFC contender to sign a certain disgruntled WR and it happened last night with the Cincinnati Bengals signing former Buffalo Bills wide receiver Terrell Owens. This move instantly upgrades a Cincinnati passing unit that had a less than stellar year by their standards or at least by Carson Palmer’s standards. Well let’s get down to it, shall we?
1. Indianapolis Colts
The Indianapolis Colts are the reigning AFC Champions and again should be one of the favorites to earn the AFC’s spot in the Super Bowl. Led by four time league MVP Peyton Manning, the Colts have been one of the most consistently excellent teams in the league for the last eight years and have been a legitimate Super Bowl contender in each of the last five years culminating in two appearances and one championship. The Super Bowl last year was decided on two plays. Of course, the onside kick recovery by New Orleans and the pick-six by Tracey Porter which sealed the game. However, in that game, New Orleans had no problem stymieing a normally stout Colts pass rush because of the foot injury sustained by Dwight Freeney. In an effort to bolster their pass rush, with their first round pick, the Colts drafted DE/OLB Jerry Hughes from TCU. Hughes fits the Colts’ old status quo of selecting speedy but undersized defensive players. Hughes was an elite pass rusher in college and will see time this season as a situational pass rusher for the Colts. If the Colts can improve their poor running game and restore some balance to their offense they just might be the first AFC team to return to the Super Bowl after a loss the previous year since the Buffalo Bills in 1993.
2. New York Jets
My second biggest contender for the AFC title happens to be the runner up in last year’s AFC Championship game, the New York Jets. The Jets, by far, had the best offseason of any team in the NFL. After fielding the league’s best defense last year, they somehow upgraded a very talented defensive unit by trading for former Chargers cornerback Antonio Cromartie and also using their first round draft pick on cornerback Kyle Wilson from Boise State. In addition to their secondary upgrades, they signed former Dolphins and Redskins DE/OLB Jason Taylor to improve their pass rush. On the offensive side of the ball, they signed former Chargers running back, LaDanian Tomlinson to bolster their running back depth behind rising star Shonn Greene. They also traded a fifth round draft pick for former Steelers wide receiver Santonio Holmes who will be serving a four game suspension to start the season. With these upgrades alone, the Jets look legit on paper. However, I think the Jets will only go as far as QB Mark Sanchez’s arm will take them. With the new toys on offense, it should make his job that much easier. I expect the defense to be as strong if not stronger than last year’s unit and if Sanchez matures this team will challenge the Colts for AFC supremacy.
3. Cincinnati Bengals
My third contender was very tough to choose. It was between two AFC North teams but with the recent signing of wide receiver Terrell Owens, the Cincinnati Bengals get the nod. After winning their division last year, the Bengals made their first playoff appearance since 2005 when Carson Palmer suffered a catastrophic knee injury. Since then, the Bengals’ franchise quarterback has sustained a litany of minor injuries and by his standards had a sub par year last year. In an effort to boost their passing attack, the Bengals selected talented tight end Jermaine Gresham from Oklahoma with their first round draft pick. With the signing of Terrell Owens, Carson Palmer should have enough weapons to have a stellar year and one that we are used to seeing from him. This team is not built on offense alone as they have one of the best cornerback tandems in the league with Jonathan Joseph and Leon Hall. They also boast a young and talented linebacker corps as well. With DE Antwan Odom returning from injury, that should only improve their pass rush as well. When Terrell Owens is motivated he can be one of the best playmakers in the league and with a great quarterback throwing to him and another pro bowl wide receiver opposite of him, he should have plenty of motivation. If the improved running game from last year shows it was not a fluke, the Bengals will be a very tough team to beat.
4. Baltimore Ravens
The other AFC North team I was alluding to is not the Pittsburgh Steelers but I am sure you already knew that. The Baltimore Ravens who crushed the New England Patriots last year in the playoffs return a very strong team lead by one of the best running backs in the league in Ray Rice as well as strong-armed signal caller Joe Flacco. The Ravens rode Ray Rice all the way to the playoffs while Flacco was more of a game manager than playmaker. I can not fault Flacco too much as he really did not have many weapons in the passing game. Well that changed this offseason as the Ravens traded for wide receiver Anquan Boldin. While Boldin is a not a blazer, he’s one of the most sure-handed wide receivers in the league and should definitely improve a mediocre passing attack. On the defensive side of the ball, the Ravens seemed to lose a step last year and with Ed Reed out for the first six weeks this season, the defense will have a tough time regrouping. In order to help bolster the defense, the Ravens drafted a couple of defenders with their first two picks. They selected DE/OLB Sergio Kindle from Texas and NT Terrance Cody from Alabama. If Cody can drop some pounds and pass his conditioning test, the Ravens could have the biggest defensive line in the league when you consider DE Haloti Ngata is 345 lbs. With their offseason moves, the Ravens are in good position to challenge Cincinnati for the AFC North crown.
5. New England Patriots
My last contender is a team that should never be considered down and out. That team is the New England Patriots. Led by star quarterback Tom Brady, along with the Colts, the Patriots have been one of the most consistently great franchises in the league over the last seven years. The loss of WR Wes Welker last year right before the playoffs proved to be costly as Wes Welker is one of the key cogs in the Pats offense. Going into this year, I have to admit that I am little bit skeptical about New England. Tom Brady had a typical Brady year but considering the year before he broke all types of records I expected a bit more. I guess you can blame it on the knee injury but he insisted it did not hamper his play. The Pats have been undergoing a youth movement on defense as many of their aging veterans have been traded or released. With their first round draft pick, the Pats selected CB Devin McCourty from Rutgers. McCourty is a physical corner with solid coverage skills and is ideal for the Pats’ man coverage schemes. If the defense can come together and Tom Brady can continue to improve from his injury, they can be that dangerous team nobody talks about. I still contend that they will have a tough time being to repeat as AFC East champs as the Jets have done far more to improve their roster than the Patriots have.
Well there you have it, those are my five contenders for the AFC title going into the 2010-2011 season. Stay tuned for more updates from the Sportsdabbler.
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